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Synopsis
Is it possible to know whether regional ethnic conflict will erupt into brutal civil war?
Journal of Peace Research
The basic model is relatively simple and is constructed as a methodology rather than a theory....It is presented with admirable crispness, and its use is explained in a 'how to' section....The model's main strengths are its neatness and the wide range of applicability. This book is useful for showing how the study of these issues is progressing in official circles, and is equally useful as a contribution to the basic literature on causes of conflict and early warning. This all adds up to a concise volume worth reading, and a model worth testing.